Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Democrats didn't just outraise Republicans last quarter. They outspent them—brutally

Daily Kos Elections is pleased to unveil our new charts rounding up third-quarter fundraising numbers for every major party nominee for the House and the Senate.

We said two weeks ago that this fundraising quarter would be unlike any we’ve ever seen, and we were more right than we knew. Altogether, Democratic candidates competing in this year’s Senate races raised $401 million from donors while Republicans took in $163 million—a gulf that would have been simply unthinkable even during the 2018 blue wave. Democrats also spent $373 million compared to $195 million from Republicans and ended Sept. 30 with a $184 million to $141 million cash-on-hand lead.

A total of four upper chamber candidates—all Democrats—beat the $38.1 million Senate quarterly fundraising record that was set by Beto O’Rourke just two years ago. The top honor by far goes to Jaime Harrison, who took in a truly stunning $57.2 million for his bid against South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham. Graham, by contrast, raised just under half that with $28 million, which was the most of any Senate Republican up this year.

The second-largest quarterly haul went to Maine’s Sara Gideon, who outpaced GOP Sen. Susan Collins by a lopsided $38.8 million to $7.9 million. In Arizona, Mark Kelly outraised appointed Sen. Martha McSally $38.3 million to $22 million, while Kentucky Democrat Amy McGrath outraised Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell $35.4 million to $15.3 million.

The fundraising battle was similarly one-sided in favor of the Democrats in most other crucial Senate contests. In Iowa, Theresa Greenfield more than lapped Republican Joni Ernst by taking in $28.4 million compared to the senator’s $7.2 million. In North Carolina, Democrat Cal Cunningham outraised another GOP incumbent, Thom Tillis, $28 million to $6.2 million. Additionally, Colorado Democrat John Hickenlooper edged out Republican incumbent Cory Gardner, who looks like the underdog now more than ever—$22.3 million to $7.7 million.  

Democrats also far outpaced Republican incumbents in contests where the GOP is still favored to win. Al Gross, an Alaska independent running as the Democratic nominee, took in $9.2 million compared to incumbent Dan Sullivan’s $1.7 million. In Georgia’s regularly scheduled Senate race, Jon Ossoff outpaced Republican Sen. David Perdue $21.1 million to $5.6 million. Raphael Warnock, who is the most prominent Democrat in the Peach State’s crowded special election, also took in $12.8 million, which was far more than any of the other contenders from either party.

Oh, that wasn’t all. In Kansas, Democrat Barbara Bollier outraised Republican Roger Marshall $13.3 million to $2.9 million in a contest that her party hasn’t won since 1932. Montana Democrat Steve Bullock out-hauled Republican incumbent Steve Daines $26.5 million to $11.5 million, while Texas’ MJ Hegar outpaced Sen. John Cornyn $13.9 million to $6.9 million.

Even Alabama Sen. Doug Jones, who is the most vulnerable Democrat in the chamber by far, outpaced Republican Tommy Tuberville $10.3 million to $3.3 million. Democrat Mike Espy also outraised Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith $4.1 million to $816,000 in Mississippi for a contest that has attracted relatively little outside attention. In Louisiana, Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy did manage to outraise Adrian Perkins $1.4 million to $1.3 million, though Perkins’ total was notable in what’s become a reliably red state in federal elections.

The only competitive Senate race where the fundraising battle was close was Michigan, where Democratic incumbent Gary Peters edged out Republican John James $14.4 million to $14.3 million. This was still an improvement for Peters, though, who was outraised during the previous four fundraising quarters.

We’ll turn next to the House. While Democrats only outraised Republicans $226 million to $207 million across all 435 seats, that margin dramatically widens to $131 million to $95 million in the races that Daily Kos Elections rates as anything other than Safe for one party or the other. Democrats in these competitive races also outspent Republicans $171 million to $95 million over the quarter, and they enjoyed a $112 million to $75 million cash-on-hand lead on Sept. 30.

The top fundraiser in a competitive House race, though, was Republican Rep. Dan Crenshaw in Texas’ 2nd Congressional, who outpaced Democrat Sima Ladjevardian $5.5 million to $1.4 million. Not far behind was California Rep. Katie Porter, who outraised Republican Greg Raths $5.2 million to $444,000 in the 45th District, an Orange County seat that was fiercely fought two years ago but that hasn’t attracted any major outside spending this time.

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